Fantasy Golf Predictions

Fantasy Golf Sleeper Report – 2021 Farmers Insurance Open

Published

3 years ago

January 26, 2021

The Farmers Insurance Open Fantasy Sleeper Report

Regular golf bettors will be familiar with the phenomenon of being a week too early.

We had lined up Si-Woo Kim as a sleeper play at the Sony Open, and watched on as he played pretty well but just couldn’t get into the frame at the business end.

Forgive our frustration then when the Korean landed the American Express by one shot from Patrick Cantlay on Sunday – at a Pete Dye layout too….Kim clearly has an eye for such tracks given his former triumph at TPC Sawgrass. We should have waited a week longer!

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Even so, it was another 60/1 winner at the sportsbooks and that shows there’s still ammunition for bettors seeking long-odds value….but will we see one this week?

Well, there’s good news and bad news on that front. The bad is that we expect one of the classier operators to thrive, given that premium ball-strikers have a clear competitive advantage at both of the Torrey Pines tracks that host this event.

On the plus side….Marc Leishman was a 45/1 hope when he won here 12 months ago and Jon Rahm, believe it or not, was 40/1 when he prospered back in 2017. Scott Stallings, in 2014, left everyone flabbergasted when he won at a cool 200/1!

The reason that premium players tend to thrive at Torrey Pines is because the South Course, which hosts three of the rounds played, is a quality test that has previously welcomed an edition of the U.S. Open. Thick rough, small Poa Annua greens that run at 13 on the stimp and a stiff breeze all contribute to making this a tough assignment.

The North Course, which rotates as a host for one of the first two rounds, is rather easier with wide open spaces and medium-paced Bentgrass greens, and this track plays at two strokes easier than the South – so yes, there could be a draw bias based upon the weather.

And the forecast this week is….interesting. There’s a warning for high winds in the early part of the week in San Diego, with rain forecast for Thursday and Friday and a breeze of up to 16mph. It won’t be for the faint hearted, you suspect.

Does that improve the chances of our sleeper picks? Who knows….but we certainly like the chances of this quartet on our Farmers Insurance Open sleeper shortlist.

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Want more of this week’s fantasy predictions? Check out our full fantasy preview for Farmers Insurance Open here.

Sleeper Report Predictions This Season (2020-2021)

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[skill_bar heading=”Total Top 3s” percent=”1.33%” bar_text=”1 out of 75 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Top 10s” percent= “12.00%” bar_text=”9 out of 75 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Top 25s” percent=”30.67%” bar_text=”23 out of 75 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Winners Picked” percent=0%” bar_text=”0 out of 15 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Runners-Up Picked” percent=”6.67%” bar_text=”1 out of 15 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Made Cuts (Includes Sleepers)” percent=”81.33%” bar_text=”61 out of 75 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″]

Cover photo via Instagram