Fantasy Golf Odds, Picks & Predictions – The Wyndham Championship

Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions for the 2016 Wyndham Championship

The 2016 Wyndham Championship Fantasy Preview

With the Rio hangover beginning and the Playoffs just a week away, this week’s Wyndham Championship is the last stop for some last minute (and crucial) FedExCup points.  Only the top 125 players will continue their season and it’s possible to use this motivation when selecting some “on the bubble” sleeper picks this week.

 
Expect some big names to pick from this week as even the best in the field like Fowler and Reed will be looking to pad their playoff chances with a final event push.  All but just 11 of the players ranked 91st to 190th in FedExCup Points will be there, with a few of those “bubble” players we highlighted earlier being Bronson Burgoon (124th), Johnson Wagner (125th), and Matt Jones (126th).  This number will change hole by hole, but note: the guys around this number tend to dial it up, so be on the lookout for some great bargains.

Last Week’s Fantasy Results

Last week we covered The John Deere Classic as well as the Olympics.  First, let’s recap the Deere.

We’re bummed that we picked Ryan Moore a week too early (Travelers), but four of our Top Picks, including our horse pick, Jon Rahm (T11, 102 FP), finished within the Top 27.  Two of those players had all sub-70 rounds and posted more than 90 fantasy points.

We’re disappointed in the three missed cuts, including our two sleeper picks, so we’re hoping you mixed in some other sleepers, like Cauley (T8, 103.5 FP), who was our best performer from our Tuesday Sleeper Report.

The Olympics went off without a hitch and indeed it was fun to watch, especially on that final day with Kuch, Stenson, and Rose coming down the stretch.  As for our Olympics picks, we had three of the four finish in the Top 15, including our top pick Reed (T11) (although in hindsight we had the wrong American), who put up 75 fantasy points.  Grillo also finished with a solid T8 while Gomez came in T15.

The 2016 Wyndham Championship Field

Mr. 58 is back!  Furyk steps back into the spotlight this week to make another FedExCup title run.  As a past playoff champion and new record setter, you have to assume his game is in full gear right now.  He’ll be joined by recently-crowned PGA Champ Jimmy Walker, who looks to carry his major victory momentum into Bethpage next week.

Ryan Moore, last week’s winner, has been ramping up his game just in time, and could be a huge favorite on most rosters this week.

Don’t forget the big name players who come out for the season’s final event; this year we’ll see Olympians Rickie Fowler, Patrick Reed, Rafa Cabrera Bello, and Danny Lee jump right back into PGA TOUR action fresh out of Rio.

 
It will be a packed house indeed, with 10 of the OWGR Top 30 playing in this week’s event—which should create some large ticket games on DraftKings.  Their top game is paying $50,000 to the winner this week for a $33 entry.  More about this event below.

This Week’s Course Preview

Sedgefield Country Club measures in at 7,127 yards and plays as a par 70.  This course opened its doors in 1925 and was one of two courses used for the Greater Greensboro Open in 1938.

We can tell from previous editions of this event that Sedgefield is best conquered by guys who can score well around the greens.  We’re not overly concerned with picking accurate and long hitters this week—although it helps, it’s not a critical key to success here.  We’ll talk more about stats and what key indicators we’ll be honing in on for this week’s event in our Fantasy Notes section below.

A photo posted by Matt Brown (@themattbrown) on Aug 12, 2016 at 10:38am PDT

As for the course, Sedgefield usually ranks as one of the easiest Par 70’s on the schedule.  Last year there was a 61 and five 62’s throughout the week, and the scoring average for the event was 68.86.  Their are only two par 5’s on the course, and last year they ranked second easiest of the season.

Oddsmakers are probably gambling whether or not Furyk shoots 57 this week.

Weather Forecast for Greensboro, NC 

Another rain-riddled event is in the forecast this week in NC.  Expect rain and thunderstorms Thursday and for most of the weekend.  Friday looks to be the best day, but definitely expect more delays and suspended rounds.

Last Year’s Results from the Wyndham Championship

Not many fantasy players ran with Davis Love III last year as the 51-year-old became the third-oldest winner in PGA TOUR history.  He closed out his tournament with an impressive 6-under-par 64 on the final day to beat out Jason Gore.  Fans will remember that Love began the day behind by four strokes, but then began turning up the dial around the greens, making multiple birdies and an eagle.

DL3 finished the week 3rd in Strokes Gained: Putting, T10 in Driving Accuracy, and T9 in Scrambling.

[embedyt] http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bviF2PI3MuI[/embedyt]

This Week’s Broadcast Schedule

• Television Broadcasts
  • Thursday-Friday, 5-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel).
  • Saturday, 3-6 p.m. (CBS). Sunday, 1-2:30 p.m. (GC), 3-6 p.m. (CBS).
• Mobile Broadcasts 
  • PGA TOUR LIVE: Thursday-Friday, 7:30 a.m.-5 p.m. (featured groups), 5-7 p.m. (featured holes).
• RADIO:
  • Thursday-Friday, noon-7 p.m.
  • Saturday-Sunday, 1-6 p.m. (PGA TOUR Radio on SiriusXM and PGATOUR.COM).

Where to Play Fantasy Golf for the Wyndham Championship this Week

Here’s some of our favorite contests for some late-season fantasy action this week:

• PGA $375K DOGLEG [$50K TO 1ST]: This 13,137 max player event has $375,000 up for grabs and pays out the top 3,615 finishing positions.  First place wins $50,000.00, and the Top 4 places walk away with five-figure prizes.

• EURO SATELLITE TO PGA $500K CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES: This $3 dollar entry, max 588 player event will pay $1,500.00 in total prizes which goes directly to the first place winner.  The other big prize is an entry ticket to the PGA $500K Main Event coming soon…

• No Halftime Heads Up Fantasy:  Give these guys a try for a chance to double your money in a quick player versus player format.  You set the stakes, create your own match-ups, or pick one already created and boom, you’re in!

This Week’s Fantasy Notes for the Wyndham Championship

The past two winners at Wyndham (Davis Love III and Camilo Villegas) both had eerily similar stats en route to their victories at Sedgefield.  Both finished in the Top 10 in Driving Accuracy, Proximity to the Hole, and Scrambling.  They also both finished in the upper 30’s in Driving Distance.

Okay, so what does this all mean?  We’re going to put less emphasis on distance and focus on the key indicators that matter here.  Putting, Scrambling, and Accuracy will be our top three targets when running our algorithms this week.  It’s best to sort the our statistical indicators by GPFP this week, because you’ll notice a lot of low-priced players in the Top 20.

Don’t forget that we WILL overlook some stats if we feel the player is trending and has the ability to put up a ton of fantasy points due to historical play at this venue.

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Our Top 5 (and Top 2 Sleeper) Fantasy Picks and Odds to Win the 2016 Wyndham Championship

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Top 5 Picks/Odds to Win the Wyndham Championship

Horse Pick: ($12,500 – $11,000)

Jim Furyk (Golficity Odds 20/1 FPPG: 51.79 GPFP: 41.83 Salary: $11,000): Despite this huge absence this season due to injury, nothing about his wrist looked to be bothering him when he fired a record-breaking score that most amateurs shoot on the front nine.  Needless to say, there are other better equipped and higher ranking players priced above him, but remember, this is a scrambling course, and Furyk is notoriously one of the best in the game.  Reed has more scrambling ability, but we hate his price tag.  We’re looking to add points, and Furyk has just as equipped of a game to match what Reed can do, but at a price $1,200 dollars cheaper.  Jim sits 106th in FedExCup points, and is desperately trying to move halfway up the board if not further before the playoffs begin next week.  His low indicator points are due to his lack of play this year, and we’re not getting hung up on it.

Tour Stats 2015-2016 Season

• Scrambling: 147th
• Driving Accuracy:  25th
• Greens in Regulation: 92nd
• Strokes Gained: Putting: 59th

* Most Notable Stat:  Proximity to the Hole: 9th

Top Tier Pick ($10,000-$11,000)

Jon Rahm (Golficity Odds 22/1 FPPG: 85.64 GPFP: 92.49 Salary: $10,000):  Arguably one of the hottest players (and best priced in DFS) on TOUR right now.  It’s a toss up not running with the hot Ryan Moore here for only $200 bucks more, but there is something we like a little more about Rahm this week at Sedgefield.  He’s our Top Dog in GPFP this week, and for a great reason.  After banking a T14 at the John Deere last week, Rahm is officially 6-for-6 as a professional, and he has four Top 25 finishes.  He’s averaged an incredible 99 Fantasy Points over his last three events, and if he had enough rounds under his belt to qualify, he’d lead the TOUR in adjusted scoring average.  He does not have enough rounds to qualify for most stats, as you’ll notice below but Rahm is super hot, trending nicely, and looks like he can carry the momentum.

Tour Stats 2015-2016 Season

• Scrambling: NA
• Driving Accuracy: NA
• Greens in Regulation: NA
• Strokes Gained: Putting: NA

* Most Notable Stat: NA

Mid-Tier Pick ($8,000-$9,900)

Justin Thomas (Golficity Odds 38/1 FPPG: 66.07 GPFP: 85.89 Salary: $8,600): Thomas is definitely seeking revenge after carding a disappointing 75 on the final day here last year to drop all the way to a T56.  He comes into Sedgefield on the heels of a T3 at TPC River Highlands where he fired one round of 62 and put up 105.5 Fantasy Points.  He can shorten this course up with his booming drives and can easily pick apart many of the par 4’s. Although his stats aren’t anything that will get you excited, he’s another pick like Furyk that we’re putting a lot of love into due to recent trends and his ability around the green.  He also carries a great price tag for a solid mid-tier pick.

Tour Stats 2015-2016 Season

• Scrambling: 169th
• Driving Accuracy: 177th
• Greens in Regulation: 92nd
• Strokes Gained: Putting: 152nd

* Most Notable Stat: Strokes Gained: Approach The Green: 19th

Low-Tier Picks

Jason Dufner (Golficity Odds 65/1 FPPG: 66.32 GPFP: 77.59 Salary: $7,900):  Duf has cooled off since June, when he scored three Top 8’s in the month, however he still adds a ton of value on a course like this for a nice price.  He sits 22nd in FedExCup points, and has a decent chance to coast into the TOUR Championship next month after a few solid weeks.  This week in particular can essentially seal the deal of making it to Atlanta.  Despite his cool down, Duf still manages to be a helpful factor on DK rosters, and this course caters nicely to his game.  When it comes to key stats Jason ranks 12th on TOUR in GIR and 6th within this week’s field.

Tour Stats 2015-2016 Season

• Scrambling: 152nd
• Driving Accuracy: 64th
• Greens in Regulation: 12th
• Strokes Gained: Putting: 177th

* Most Notable Stat: GIR: 12th

Robert Garrigus (Golficity Odds 68/1 FPPG: 60.47 GPFP: 77.40 Salary: $7,700): Garrigus is another hot player as of late, and a very decent value in DFS this week.  In his last five events played, RG has three Top 11 finishes and an average of 78.8 fantasy points per game.  Like Furyk, he hovers right over the 100 spot on the FedExCup points leaderboard, and we’re sure he’ll be fired up to cushion his playoff run.  He ranks 5th on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Approach the Green and 11th in Birdie Average.  Garrigus is a solid play this week (again) on an easy Sedgefield track as he ranks 13th on TOUR in GIR and 7th in the field this week.

Tour Stats 2015-2016 Season

• Scrambling: 186th
• Driving Accuracy: 181st
• Greens in Regulation: 13th
• Strokes Gained: Putting: 141st

* Most Notable Stat: Strokes Gained: Approach The Green: 5th

Sleeper Pick/Odds to Win the Wyndham Championship

Alex Cejka (Golficity Odds 100/1 FPPG: 61.04 GPFP: 48.83  Salary: $6,600): Cejka features top 21’s in his last three consecutive starts, including his T21 in Rio last week, T11 at the Travelers, and T5 at the RBC.  He’s averaging roughly 82 fantasy points per game over the last three weeks, and it’s primarily due to his stellar play around the greens.  He comes in ranked 14th in Strokes Gained: Approach The Greens and 3rd on TOUR in Scrambling (2nd in the field).  Anytime you can pick up a guy with scrambling ability like this on a scrambling course like Sedgefield at this price, its a no-brainer.

Tour Stats 2015-2016 Season

• Scrambling: 3rd
• Driving Accuracy: 30th
• Greens in Regulation: 26th
• Strokes Gained: Putting: 94th

* Most Notable Stat:  Scrambling: 3rd

Salary Cap League Super Sleeper Pick/Odds to Win the Wyndham Championship

Chez Reavie (Golficity Odds 110/1 FPPG: 59.5 GPFP: 47.85 Salary: $6,300): Reavie is a solid sleeper pick who comes in with an average of about 70 fantasy points over the last three events he’s played.  He’s what you expect out of someone priced in the low $6,000 range.  He ranks 11th on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Approach The Green, 6th in Eagles, and 14th in Driving Accuracy.  Although his putting is his biggest weakness, Reavie ranks 9th on TOUR in Scrambling (6th in the field) and could make up for his putting with his exceptional ability to get the ball close to the pin (ranks 16th in Proximity to the Hole).  You can try to run with Bryce Molder at a much cheaper price tag this week instead of Reavie, but we feel Reavie is the better choice between the two.

Tour Stats 2015-2016 Season

• Scrambling: 9th
• Driving Accuracy: 14th
• Greens in Regulation: 39th
• Strokes Gained: Putting: 165th

* Most Notable Stat:  Scrambling: 9th

Sample DraftKings Lineup With Furyk

Sample DraftKings Lineup Without Furyk

Bonus “Mid-Tier Heavy” Sample Roster

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Last Week’s Top 5 Picks/Odds to Win the John Deere Classic

• Jon Rahm (Golficity Odds 14/1) T14 ($88,800)
• Gary Woodland (Golficity Odds 24/1) MC
• Robert Garrigus (Golficity Odds 45/1) T22 ($46,800)
• Patrick Rodgers (Golficity Odds 48/1) T27 ($32,640)
• Keegan Bradley (Golficity Odds 50/1) T22 ($46,800)

Last Week’s Sleeper Pick/Odds to Win the John Deere Classic

• Spencer Levin (Golficity Odds 60/1) MC

Last Week’s Salary Cap League Sleeper Pick/Odds to Win the John Deere Classic

• Tyrone Van Aswegen (Golficity Odds 100/1) MC

Fantasy Golf Predictions YTD (2015-2016)

[skill_bar heading=”Total Top 3s” percent=”9.52%” bar_text=”24 out of 252 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Top 10s” percent=”20.63%” bar_text=”52 out of 252 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Winners Picked” percent=”25.00%” bar_text=”9 out of 36 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Runners-Up Picked” percent=”22.22%” bar_text=”8 out of 36 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Made Cuts (Includes Sleepers)” percent=”75.00″ bar_text=”189 out of 252 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″]

Remember to visit our private Facebook group to discuss this week’s picks for the 2016 Wyndham Championship with other Premium Members.

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Cover Photo via Instagram