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Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions – 2022 BMW Championship

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Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions for the 2022 BMW Championship 

BMW Championship Fantasy Preview

It’s been evident for a long time to anyone with even a passing interest in golf that Will Zalatoris is a multiple PGA TOUR champion in the making.

And so when the chance to convert at the FedEx St. Jude Championship came along on Sunday, he was desperate not to fluff his lines at the winning post again – confirmed by his shriek of ‘what are they gonna say now!?’ when that final putt hit the cup.

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It took a playoff to bank the win at TPC Southwind, and to say those three extra holes against Sepp Straka were eventful is something of an understatement. 

Zalatoris saw one errant shot ricochet into a wall and just avoid dropping into the drink, but on two separate occasions he needed two shortish range putts – normally his achilles heel – to come to the rescue, and on both occasions he made no mistake.

It was just his day. It would have been better if he’d converted a maiden PGA TOUR win on the many occasions we’ve drafted him this term, but there you go!

As it stands, Zalatoris is now top of the FedEx Cup standings with just two events to go….starting with this week’s BMW Championship, which finds a new temporary home at Wilmington Country Club in Delaware. 

Last Week’s Fantasy Results

Sungjae Im was our best finish last week at T12. Losing Scottie Scheffler to the cut line stung quite a bit, but we’re confident we can narrow things down with the smaller field this week.

BMW Championship Field

The top 70 of the FedEx Cup standings will ride on to Delaware, and now it’s all about earning a place in the final 30 for the season-ending TOUR Championship at East Lake.

The only member of the 70 not expected to compete at Wilmington is Tommy Fleetwood, who seems to have opted out of the FedEx Cup this year, while there are rumors that Cameron Smith – linked with a switch to LIV Golf – is also going to sit out the BMW Championship.

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That would leave a field of 68, with Zalatoris looking to hold off the likes of Scottie Scheffler, Tony Finau, Sam Burns and Xander Schauffele at the head of the FedEx Cup race.

As far as the sportsbooks are concerned, Scheffler leads the way in their odds alongside Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Patrick Cantlay and Justin Thomas.

This Week’s Course Preview

If we can climb aboard our soapbox for a moment, it really grinds our gears that the BMW Championship – which ought to be one of the PGA TOUR’s flagship events given its status in the FedEx Cup battle – has become something of a traveling circus in recent years.

Every season it’s off to somewhere new, and in the case of Wilmington Country Club we have a layout that has barely featured at the elite end of golf.

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The last time it hosted a tournament of note was the 2013 Palmer Cup, where the US (featuring a youthful Justin Thomas) obliterated their European opponents.

So what do we know about Wilmington CC? Well, from the images and videos we’ve analyzed, this looks to be a layout with plenty of undulations and heavily guarded, undulating greens, and with plenty of trees on the estate there’s going to be some tight driving lines as well.

Originally designed by Robert Trent Jones, the course was given a makeover in 2021 following a freak tornado, and most have commented that the alterations make Wilmington a tougher golf course to tame – at 7,534 yards for its Par 71, it’s certainly long enough if nothing else.

The track looks to be well bunkered and the rough is said to be up, so this will surely prove to be a test of long, straight hitting – the minimum requirement from a FedEx Cup playoff event. The Bermuda green complexes look to have plenty of unique cambers and angles too.

And fans of such things will enjoy the eighteenth hole – an uphill, doglegging-left Par 4 with a well-protected green and a blind approach shot if the pin is set on the back half of the dancefloor….which you can guarantee it will be come Sunday.

Weather Forecast for Wilmington, DE

Already a long course with several uphill holes, Wilmington could prove to be an even more sizable layout if the rain comes over the weekend as expected.

The early forecasts are suggesting either rain showers or scattered thunderstorms, and the amount of precipitation that falls will determine how long the track plays in real terms – if it chucks it down, shorter hitters really will have their work cut out.

The good news for them, perhaps, is that Thursday and Friday look to be set fair according to the early forecast, with sunny spells, single-digit wind speeds and temperatures hitting 88˚F.

WILMINGTON WEATHER

Last Year’s Results from the BMW Championship

It was Patrick Cantlay that gave his FedEx Cup title charge the impetus it needed with a win in the BMW Championship 12 months ago.

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Played at Caves Valley in Maryland, Cantlay saw off the challenge of Bryson DeChambeau on a frantic Sunday – although he needed six playoff holes to finally get the ‘W’ over the line.

It was testament to Cantlay’s staying power that he even featured in the playoff – he found water on the 71st hole, and needed to make a 20ft putt on the last to book his date with Bryson.

Amazingly, DeChambeau’s score of -27 was the lowest in TOUR history not to yield a win, and he will have been left ruing three spurned birdie opportunities during those nerve-racking playoff holes.

Where to Play Fantasy Golf for the BMW Championship this Week

The problem with such small fields is that big-budget whales can boss multi-entry contests simply by drafting more line-up combinations than anyone else. So, for us, only entering those with single or low entry requirements is the right way to go this week.

  • PGA $40k Albatross: Those of slightly more limited means can enjoy this $12 entry contest, with a single bullet all that separates you from the $4,000 top prize. Can you defeat the other 3,920 players? 
  • PGA $20k Dogleg: With just 706 entries allowed, the field is squeezed for this $33 entry contest, and the top prize of $2,000 will be just reward for taking a risk on this single-entry game.

This Week’s Fantasy Notes for the BMW Championship

The problem with the BMW Championship in recent years is that it has required a leap into the unknown!

And once more into the breach we go with Wilmington Country Club, a layout which we can make some assumptions about.

It’s mightily long with its 7,500+ yardage and uphill-lying holes, and straight off the bat that discounts some of the shorter hitters in the field. 

As well as some tight driving lines and shot shaping off the tee, many of these Bermuda greens are protected on all sides too, and so precise approach play will be of the essence – although the dancefloors do look to be a decent size, by all accounts.

But there’s a clear emphasis on long ball-strikers this week, and we’re particularly interested in those that have performed well at tracks that can loosely be described as correlating – i.e. long, tree-lined and with an emphasis on quality driving.

In that category go Quail Hollow, the long-standing home of the Wells Fargo Championship, Muirfield Village (Memorial Tournament), Memorial Park (home of the 2020 and ’21 Houston Open), Southern Hills (2022 PGA Championship) and Augusta, which should require no introduction. 

Our Top 5 (and Top 2 Sleeper) Fantasy Picks and Odds to Win the BMW Championship  

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Fantasy Golf Predictions This Season (2021-2022)

41
Tourneys Played '21 -'22
41365153
Season Earnings YTD
[skill_bar heading=”Total Top 3s” percent=”3.83%” bar_text=11 out of 287 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Top 10s” percent=”19.86%” bar_text=”57 out of 287 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Top 25s” percent=”32.75%” bar_text=94 out of 287 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Winners Picked” percent=”21.95%” bar_text=”9 out of 41 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Runners-Up Picked” percent=”12.19%” bar_text=”5 out of 41 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Made Cuts (Includes Sleepers)” percent=”65.15″ bar_text=”187 out of 287 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″]

Remember to visit our private Facebook group to discuss this week’s picks for the BMW Championship with other Premium Members.


Cover Photo via Instagram

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