Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, & Predictions – 2015 Deutsche Bank Championship

Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions for the 2015 Deutsche Bank Championship

The 2015 Deutsche Bank Championship Fantasy Preview

Last week we had some doubters who questioned our decision to bench Spieth and choose Jason Day as our “must pick” horse of the week—but with Spieth missing the cut and Day winning The Barclays, it’s safe to say we nailed it!  We’ll talk more about our perfect week at Plainfield CC in the next section but first, let’s set you up for TPC Boston and round two of the FedExCup Playoffs.

The field has chopped down to 100 players this week and Rory McIlroy will be back in full force after taking a week off to further heal his ailing ankle.  Rory will play this week as the World No. 1 again after regaining the crown from Jordan Spieth who missed the cut at The Barclays.  McIlroy was bumped from 9th to 15th place in the FedExCup points standings due to his elected absence last week but Rory is still in great position to make a run for the cup.

The question this week is do you continue to ride the Jay-Day train into Boston or do we see a cool off and resurgence of Spieth and/or McIlroy dominance.  Decisions, decisions!  Regardless, you can count on Day, Spieth, and McIlroy being the most expensive players in fantasy salary cap leagues this week for sure.

Speaking of Spieth, Jordan has a lot to prove this week and we certainly love picking players with that motivation going into an event.  He’ll be coming into TPC Boston off of his worst tournament finish since the early spring after firing a 74-73 in his opening rounds in New Jersey last week.  Here’s an interesting stat: last week’s missed cut was Jordan’s second finish outside the top 10 since his missed cut at THE PLAYERS in May!  So does he bounce back this week?  Do you pick him or bench him again?  We’ll key you in on all of this in our fantasy picks segment below.

After this week, the FedExCup field will chop down to 70 players and head to Illinois for the BMW Championship.  That is when the weekly fantasy picks get tougher and tougher!

Last Week’s Fantasy Results

As mentioned in the preview, we hit the nail on the head by picking Day over Spieth as last week we offered our Premium Members a different approach to picking a roster.  We did this by first identifying the best players to choose from in their respected salary range and then selecting our favorite of the bunch.  Here’s how we faired:

• Horse Pick: We chose Day (WINNER) over Spieth (MC).
• Mid-Tier: We chose Justin Rose (T16) over Dustin Johnson (T9).
• Mid-Tier:  We chose Bubba Watson (3rd) over Rickie Fowler (MC) and Brooks Koepka (MC)
• Low-Tier: We chose Jim Furyk (T11) and Paul Casey (T39) over Hideki Matusyama  (T13) and Brandt Snedeker (MC)
• Sleeper: We chose Robert Streb (T39) over David Lingmerth (MC)
• Super Sleeper: We chose Danny Lee (T30) over Justin Thomas (T16) and Jimmy Walker (T69)

As you can see, despite not picking Thomas over Lee and DJ over Rose, our selections performed extremely well last week and we avoided a lot of guys who didn’t hang around to play the weekend (not to mention a few that were heavy “favorites” elsewhere).

With the Jason Day win we now have successfully picked 13 winners out of 39 tournaments and have made 14 of our last 14 cuts (including sleepers).  We’ve also extended our streak to 7 winners picked in the last 11 events and just like Jason Day we’re are only beginning to heat up!

Here’s a Monday morning email from a happy Premium Member who used our picks to score nicely on DraftKings last week – you’re very welcome Martin:

The Field

As we wind down to just 100 remaining players (there will most likely be 99 this week as Sergio Garcia is expected to sit again), things will obviously get even more exciting this week for the second leg of the playoffs.

Regaining World No. 1 title while having his ankle propped up on a pillow must have been nice for Rory McIlroy but break time is over as he has a lot to play for this week.  All the big names we saw last week (for the most part) will be back at it again with some of them earning with a cushy points advantage—like Henrik Stenson who broke out of a silent season with a second place finish and jumping 41 spots to 4th on the FedExCup list after Sunday’s closing round.

As a side note, Fowler and Spieth took a 23 minute car ride north west to Balustrol Golf Club (the site of the 2016 PGA Championship) after missing the cut at The Barclays to get a fresh look at the track before heading up to Boston to redeem themselves after a disappointing week.

A little @PGAChampionship practice round today with @jordanspieth and our tour loopers

A photo posted by Rickie Fowler (@rickiefowler) on Aug 29, 2015 at 2:50pm PDT

Here’s a list of the full field for this week’s 2015 Deutsche Bank Championship.

The Course

TPC Boston measures in a little longer than Plainfield at 7,242 yards and will play as a par 71 this week.  The track is located in between between Boston and Rhode Island and is certainly a scoreable course.

Originally launching in the 2002, this Arnold Palmer Design went through a Gil Hanse and Brad Faxon facelift only 5-years after opening.  With tricky fairway undulations and fast greens, the track certainly presents its share of challenges, but players still have had much success in finding birdies or better on this course.

The 18 hole record here at TPC Boston was set by Vijay Singh in 2006 with an impressive 61, a score that was matched two years later by Mike Weir.  Henrik Stenson matched the 72 hole record with 262 only two years ago during his FedExCup championship run.

Here’s a look at the infamous 18th hole where Billy Horschel blew his own chances of winning by putting his approach shot into the junk.

No. 18 at TPC Boston

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Weather Forecast for Norton, MA

Not much to report here except blue skies and sunshine all week.  Temperatures may dip a little bit for the first round tee times on Friday but overall nothing from Mother Nature should threaten this week’s event (including the practice rounds).

Last Year’s Results from the Deutsche Bank Championship

In 2014 Chris Kirk overcame the guy who eventually went on to win the cup (Billy Horschel) as he had his moment in the sun at TPC Boston last year.  Kirk played his final 36 holes in impressive fashion without a single bogey which helped him come back from a 10-shot deficit after Round 1.  He capped off this impressive run by firing a 6-under on Monday where he took the outright lead for the first time at No.13 and never looked back.

Kirk’s only threat was Horschel coming into 18 and we can all remember his chunky second shot into the junk which led to a disappointing bogey.  The DB Championship win marked his second victory of the season but he eventually fell short in the FedExCup title later at East Lake.

For more, here’s a full recap of Round 4 of the 2014 Deutsche Bank Championship:

Chris Kirk holds off the field for win at Deutsche Bank

In the final round of the 2014 Deutsche Bank Championship, Chris Kirk was untouchable and shot 66 to win by two to secure his third career PGA TOUR win. . SUBSCRIBE to PGA TOUR now: http://pgat.us/vBxcZSh Welcome to the official YouTube channel of the PGA TOUR.

This Week’s Broadcast Schedule

Note that this week’s Deutsche Bank Championship starts on Friday September 4th with the final round concluding on Monday September 7th.

• Television Broadcasts 
  • Friday – Saturday: 2:30 pm – 6:30 pm EST (Golf Channel)
  • Sunday: 1:00 pm – 3:00 pm EST (Golf Channel)
  • Sunday: 3:00 pm – 6:00 pm EST (NBC)
  • Monday: 11:30 am – 1:30 pm EST (Golf Channel)
  • Monday: 1:30 pm – 6:00 pm EST (NBC)
• Radio Broadcasts (PGA TOUR Radio on SiriusXM and PGATOUR.COM)
  • Friday – Saturday: 12:00 pm – 6:00 pm EST
  • Sunday – Monday: 1:00 pm – 6:00 pm EST
• Mobile Broadcasts 
  • Simultaneous coverage on the Golf Live Extra App for iOS and Android.

Where to Play Fantasy Golf for the Deutsche Bank Championship this Week

With a lot of the focus shifting to next week’s big $10 million football fantasy kickoff it’s fairly safe to say the DraftKings will not be hosting any more million dollar PGA events for a while, but you can still cash in on some “smaller” contests that pay $100,000 to the winner.

Here’s what we’re checking out this week:

• PGA $400K FAIRWAY CHAMPIONSHIP [$100K TO 1ST!]: It’s the end of the season (before the new one kicks off in a few weeks) so why not throw $27 dollars at this smaller pool to try and win $100k?

This Week’s Fantasy Notes for the Deutsche Bank Championship

Since we had so much success last week selecting the best players in their respected salary ranges and picking our favorite in each group, we’re going to give you the same analysis methodology this week.

TPC Boston is a much different course than last week’s track in New Jersey and just because a player missed the cut at The Barclays doesn’t mean they will play poorly up in New England.  We have researched this one from every angle and we have some solid ideas of who is the best of the best within their salary grouping.

If you are playing salary cap leagues this week you have to choose between Rory, Jason, and Jordan.  You can’t have more than one of these $11k+ players or you’ll be forced to fill your roster with duds and you won’t be successful unless you catch some real lightning in a bottle.  That said, we’ll put together a strong strategy for you this week along with some sample rosters to help you navigate this tough field of the world’s best players.

Our Top 5 (and Top 2 Sleeper) Fantasy Picks and Odds to Win the Deutsche Bank Championship

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Last Week’s Fantasy Results for The Barclays

• Jason Day (Golficity Odds 3/2): WINNER ($1,485,000)
• Justin Rose (Golficity Odds 8/1): T16 ($127,875)
• Bubba Watson (Golficity Odds 12/1): 3rd ($561,000)
• Jim Furyk (Golficity Odds 25/1): T11 (198,000)
• Paul Casey (Golficity Odds 32/1):T39 ($33,000)

Last Week’s Sleeper Pick to Win The Barclays

• Robert Streb (Golficity Odds 40/1): T39 ($33,000)

Last Week’s Salary Cap Sleeper Pick to Win The Barclays

• Danny Lee (Golficity Odds: 50/1): T30 ($46,933)

Fantasy Golf Predictions YTD Stats

[skill_bar heading=”Total Top 3s” percent=”13.55%” bar_text=”37 out of 273 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Top 10s” percent=”25.27%” bar_text=”69 out of 273 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Winners Picked” percent=”33.33%” bar_text=”13 out of 39 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Runners-Up Picked” percent=”35.89%” bar_text=”14 out of 39 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Made Cuts (Includes Sleepers)” percent=”81.31%” bar_text=”222 out of 273 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Major Winners Picked” percent=”100%” bar_text=”4 out of 4 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″]

Remember to visit the The Clubhouse and our private Facebook group to discuss this week’s picks for the Deutsche Bank Championship with other Premium Members.

Cover Photo via Flickr