Fantasy Golf Predictions
Fantasy Golf Sleeper Report – 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Fantasy Sleeper Report
Take a bow, Stephen Sweeney, for you have just achieved the hitherto impossible – turning Luke List into a putting machine.
The 37-year-old has long been a classy operator from tee-to-green, but he typically exhibits the assuredness of a six-year-old crazy golf debutant with the flat stick in hand.
But having started work with Sweeney, List seems to have turned his putting stroke around – he ranked first for SG: Putting after the first round at the Farmers Insurance Open, and eighth by the time he had picked up the trophy following a playoff victory over Will Zalatoris.
It was his 206th start on the PGA TOUR, and at 37 List is proof positive that you can teach old tricks new tricks in this sport we love.
As for Zalatoris, he could do with a putting guru of his own at the start of a 2022 campaign that should come paved with gold for a player of such talent. But lacking touch on the greens, he needs to sharpen up before he – like List – breaks his title duck.
When you fall off a horse, the best thing to do is get right back in the saddle, and so Zalatoris finds himself teeing it up at the AT&T Pebble Beach – restored to its three course, huge field, Bill Murray enhanced ‘best’ this year following the pandemic-affected tournament of 12 months ago.
Daniel Berger won at the largely Pebble Beach hosted event last year, but this time around he’ll have to defend while conquering the diverse assignments provided by the former US Open course as well as Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula (Shore Course).
Pebble Beach and Monterey can largely be lumped together – their ease, or otherwise, is largely dictated by the wind that rolls in off the Pacific. There’s expansive fairways but small, Poa Annua greens, and so the emphasis here is on hitting quality short-range approaches in with wedge or long iron….the shorter the better, by all accounts.
As for Spyglass Hill, it’s essentially the polar opposite. Still lacking in length, this Par 72 features dense tree-lines and smaller-than-average greens, and the object here is to plot your way around by clubbing down off the tee where necessary. Spyglass is, considerably, the toughest of three layouts when the wind isn’t blowing….as it’s not scheduled to this week.
While the great and the good of the golf world are off in Saudi Arabia, opportunity knocks for a weak field in an event that has been won by 120/1, 200/1 and even 400/1 champions in recent memory. There’s plenty of reasons for sleeper pick backers to get excited about at the 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach, so here’s our selections:
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2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Fantasy Sleeper Report
Lanto Griffin – 50/1 – We’ve had Lanto Griffin onside for the past few weeks, and he has rewarded our faith with a couple of rock-solid performances.
T3 at the American Express, the Californian was less explosive at the Farmers but still banked a T30 finish – aided by a final round of 65, which was Saturday’s best effort at Torrey Pines.
Griffin’s upswing in fortunes is no coincidence – these are his best surfaces, and with a T9 finish in his last start in this event in 2020 we have every confidence a continuation is in the offing.
Ryan Palmer – 50/1 – Hitting the ball sweetly right now is Ryan Palmer, whose lack of a track record in this event sees him discredited by the sportsbooks.
But don’t be too hasty to write him off, because the Texan is playing some excellent stuff from tee-to-green and the Pebble Beach trio of courses offer up some of the more forgiving greens around.
An excellent wind player who curiously seems to play better on Poa Annua, Palmer is a solid option this week.
Michael Thompson – 75/1 – One of the most reliable putting strokes around when missing at Torrey Pines, and yet Michael Thompson was still able to fashion a T11 finish.
That came about courtesy of a strong tee-to-green effort, which is not his usual forte, but there are reasons to be optimistic if Thompson can combine the two elements of golf in one hit over in Monterey.
With three top-20 finishes in his last five starts, and a fair enough record in this event that reads 34-MC-10, perhaps another tilt in the upper echelons of the leaderboard is in the offing.
Chris Kirk – 80/1 – While not a prolific birdie-maker by trade, Kirk ranks 6th for Birdie or Better % from 125 yards and in, which proves his wedge game is of a tremendous standard.
That’s a handy weapon up the sleeve of a player who, in 2022 thus far, has finished T27 at the Sony Open (with opening and closing rounds of 66) and missed the cut at the American Express, albeit with a score of -4.
While his returns from Pebble Beach are of the hit-and-miss variety, Kirk does have a T2 finish to his name in this event, and this consistent type can give his backers some return on their investment this week.
Aaron Rai – 90/1 – On the European Tour, Aaron Rai made his name by picking his way around tight, tree-lined layouts like Fanling, where he won his maiden title at the Hong Kong Open.
But then he went and won on a Links course two years later at the Scottish Open, and last week he again seemed to enjoy the open air – opening his shoulders, Rai made a mockery of his typical lack of length off the tee and racked up 21 birdies and two eagles into the bargain.
The two-glove wearing Brit putted much better on the Poa Annua surfaces as well, and so there’s plenty of convergence to suggest he can go well again this week too.
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Want more of this week’s fantasy predictions? Check out our full fantasy preview for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am here.
Sleeper Report Predictions This Season (2021-2022)
Cover photo via Instagram

