Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions – 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions for the 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

The 2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Fantasy Preview

Well, that was bizarre.

No sooner had the PGA TOUR announced that the forthcoming Genesis Invitational, a Signature Event with a huge prize fund, would be heading temporarily to Torrey Pines South in a few weeks (Riviera Country Club, the normal host, is in the vicinity of the Californian wildfires), had some of the big names in the Farmers Insurance Open field withdrew.

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Perhaps the logic was why bother toughing it out in tough conditions last week, with a flu bug apparently working its way around the players, when they could come back in a couple of weeks and get paid far more handsomely for the privilege?

That opened the door at the Farmers, but nothing should take away from the achievement of Harris English, who landed his first PGA TOUR in more than 1,300 days on Sunday.

He showed determination, experience, and no little skill in making par on his last 12 consecutive holes played; ordinarily, that wouldn’t be much to shout about, but with Torrey Pines South playing tough, ultimately it was a scoring run that saw English home to a fifth PGA TOUR title.

That win gets him back into the majors and the next set of Signature Events… which continue this week with the AT&T Pebble Beach.

Last Week’s Fantasy Results

Last week’s shining star for us was Sam Stevens, who finished in an impressive solo 2nd. 

Having Sam on your DFS roster at his bargain salary was a big help in cashing in last week at Torrey. All of last week’s picks also made it to the weekend with no cuts on the roster.

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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Field

This is the second year in which AT&T Pebble Beach has enjoyed Signature Event status.

And in 2025, the event is given the honor of playing host to Scottie Scheffler’s return to action. He hurt his hand over the Christmas period and needed surgery.

A quality field has been attracted by the $20 million prize purse, with eight of the world’s top ten players heading to California. Xander Schauffele is still nursing an injury and won’t play, while Tyrrell Hatton isn’t appearing for obvious reasons.

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But otherwise, this is an OWGR top-ten fest with messrs McIlroy, Morikawa, Matsuyama, Aberg, defending champion Wyndham Clark, Hovland, and Cantlay all teeing it up.

English, Nick Taylor, and Sepp Straka – the three tournament winners in 2025 so far, aside from Matsuyama’s triumph at The Sentry – also get the nod.

The 80 professionals will be paired with an amateur for the first 36 holes as per the pro-am format, before the pros go it alone over the weekend. 

This Week’s Course Preview

For many years, the AT&T Pebble Beach took place across three courses on rotation, but when the event was granted Signature status in 2024, that was snipped to two.

The iconic Pebble Beach Links plays host to one of the opening two rounds, and then exclusively welcomes the final 36 holes on Saturday and Sunday.

One of the most visually appealing layouts on the PGA TOUR, Pebble Beach has, year on year, got a whole lot easier, with its 6,972 yardage for its Par 72 incredibly short.

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It’s exposed to the conditions, but even when the wind blows and the rain falls – as they did, biblically, last year, Pebble Beach is still easy enough… Clark even threatened a 59 here 12 months ago.

Although there’s sand and the not-inconsiderable sight of the Pacific Ocean flanking the layout, there’s no great defense to Pebble Beach other than some considerable elevation changes, and smallish, bumpy Poa Annua greens.

Spyglass Hill plays host to the players on Thursday or Friday on rotation with Pebble Beach. It has, since 2022, played to around a stroke much difficult than PB, but even so it’s still not the most challenging of layouts.

The short yardage (7,040 yards for its Par 72) and dense tree coverage means that the players will largely pick their way around with irons, but again there’s little to worry about for the players – aside from those occasionally frustrating ball-rolls of the Poa Annua greens.

Between 2020 and 2023, the winning score in the event was either -18 or -19. But with the elevation to Signature Event status last year, Clark won with a 54-hole score of -17… suggesting that a winning mark of around -22 would have been needed to get the job done.

Weather Forecast for Pebble Beach, CA

A chilly, but largely wind-free week, awaits the players at Pebble Beach.

The breeze is set to be around 4-7mph across the four days, and while that may be breezier at localized level, for Pebble Beach in particular that is benign.

According to the early forecast, there should be plenty of sun around and little chance of rain. But the temperatures – a decidedly cool 55 degrees on Thursday, rising to 62 by Sunday – will certainly concentrate the minds of the players.

MONTEREY WEATHER

Last Year’s Results from AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Apocalyptic rains and winds put paid to the fourth round of the AT&T Pebble Beach last year, with Pebble Beach unfit for play on Sunday and also on the reserve day on Monday.

By then, Wyndham Clark had racked up a score of -17, which was enough for him to be crowned the winner by one shot to Ludvig Aberg.

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After 18 holes, Clark was an astonishing nine shots adrift of the leader after struggling around Spyglass Hill at level par, but then he exploded into life at Pebble Beach on the Friday and Saturday.

He made pretty much every putt he looked at, gaining a huge +3.46 on the field across his 36 recorded holes at the layout.

A round of 67 on Friday was followed by a mesmeric 60 on Saturday, where Clark might just have joined the 59 Club – no mean feat on a Par 72 – but for a run of pars from 15-17.

As he watched the rain come hammering down on Sunday and Monday, it’s unlikely that he gave much of a hoot.

Where to Play Fantasy Golf for this Week’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

With only 80 players in the field, it’s somewhat harder to draft a lineup that isn’t duplicated many, many times over. But at the same time, how many gamers will draft Scheffler or Rory at a pair of courses that take driver out of their hands?

So here’s a couple of contests to try accordingly….

• Golf Tour $200k Birdie: If you want to draft a few variations of our central roster, you can do so in this $3 entry game – the field is more than 50% smaller than the equivalent Drive the Green contest, but with a still meaty $5k to the winner.

• Golf Tour $40k Dogleg: We’ve speculated as to how many casual gamers will draft Scottie or Rory this week. There’s no reason why they can’t win the event, of course, but surely there’s more upside by drafting around them? Let’s find out, with this $33 single entry contest a good place to hang our hats.

This Week’s Fantasy Notes for AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

There’s not a great deal of science or unpredictability in the formula for success at either Pebble Beach or Spyglass Hill.

The players will typically club down on some/most holes, find the fairway, and leave themselves a wedge into the green. Then, it becomes a Poa Annua based putting shootout.

With a fairly benign forecast and cool temperatures, Pebble Beach in particular will play easier than if a gale was blowing, or red-hot sunshine had dried out the greens. So wood/long iron to fairway, wedge, and putt is the simple strategy on the Par 4s.

There’s typically a temptation to lay up on the Par 5s – so, again, wedge play on that third shot is vital, while the Par 3s at Pebble Beach are generally easy enough… the 106-yard seventh in particular is a birdie chance in benign conditions.

Just watch out for the Poa greens, which numerous players have not been kind about at Pebble Beach in particular. The salty air seems to turn an already bumpy surface even tougher, especially later on in the day when the greens have dried out, so look out for those with success putting on Poa or at PB in particular. 

As for correlating tracks, there’s not a lot of leaderboards where repeat Pebble Beach performers turn up consistently, but short, coastal tracks such as Waialae, Mayakoba, and the Seaside Course at Sea Island GC are perhaps useful guides.

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Our Top 5 (and Top 2 Sleeper) Fantasy Picks and Odds to Win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am   

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Top 5 Picks/Odds to Win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am  

Top Tier Pick # 1

Justin Thomas (Odds: 14/1, FPPG: 122.0, Salary: $9,800)

It seems, given how well he is striking the ball and now putting, that Justin Thomas will win on the PGA TOUR in the days or weeks ahead.

Getting the timing right in backing him for that fateful event will be key, but there’s no reason why the AT&T Pebble Beach can’t be the destination for JT’s next trophy.

He played in the event in 2014, missed the cut, and then didn’t return until 2024, where he was nicely poised four shots behind Clark – despite losing -1.16 strokes to the field putting – at the 54-hole stage.

The good news is that Thomas is striking the ball as well now as he was back then, with the added benefit that he’s gained strokes putting on the field in each of his last two starts.

J.T. sat out the Farmers – no bad thing, maybe, and instead heads to California this week with all departments of his game in rude health.

Key Stats (2024):

• Approaches from 50-125 yards – 4th
• SG: Approach – 9th
• Scoring Average (adjusted) – 17th

Top Tier Pick #2

Hideki Matsuyama (Odds: 35/1, FPPG: 103.1, Salary: $9,600)

At less-than-driver courses like Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill, prowess with long and short irons, along with precise wedge control, is vital.

And it’s in that spirit that Hideki Matsuyama makes our draft, given that he’s one of the best exponents of those arts in world golf.

Taking driver out of the Japanese ace’s hands also isn’t the end of the world for his chances – he was pretty wayward off the tee at Torrey Pines, and while he didn’t putt well there either, Matsuyama does have plenty of previous on Poa Annua greens… not least his win on the surface at the Genesis Invitational in 2024, when he gained +1.30 on the field with his flatstick.

Matsuyama won twice in 2024 and again at The Sentry earlier in January, so he’s firmly established himself as one of the most prolific champions in world golf. Can he add another trophy to his collection this week? You certainly wouldn’t bet against him.

Key Stats (2024):

• Approaches from 50-125 Yards – 2nd
• SG: Approach – 15th
• Putts Per Round – 29th

Mid-Tier Pick #1

Jason Day (Odds: 35/1, FPPG: 87.6, Salary: $8,900)

Quite what the catalyst has been only he knows, but Jason Day has come tearing out of the blocks in 2025 so far.

The Aussie’s ball striking is back to the levels that won him countless PGA TOUR titles, but here’s the rub: this season, he ranks a staggering 172nd on TOUR for SG: Putting.

So, his putter is ice cold. But this is a guy who ranked ninth on TOUR last season for that same metric, and you know what they say about form being temporary, and class being permanent.

If there’s one set of greens that Day loves, it’s those at Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill. His record in this event is astonishing: he has five top-fives, three T6 finishes, and a T7.

He just routinely plays well in this event, and produces world class putting performances along the way. If his recent ball-striking improvement remains in situ, Day is a red-hot contender this week.

Key Stats (2024):

• SG: Putting – 9th
• Par 4 Birdie or Better Leaders – 24th
• Approaches from Inside 100 Yards – 55th

Mid-Tier Pick #2

Beau Hossler (Odds: 66/1, FPPG: 85.8, Salary: $7,600)

Few players have taken to Pebble Beach quite like Beau Hossler over the years.

The Californian has made three rounds of 67 or better in his last seven attempts, which is an excellent ratio of low scoring on the layout in differing conditions. His overall formline in the event – 14-11-3 since 2022 – reveals a fondness for the pro-am format, too.

Hossler is typically excellent when putting on Poa. In fact, his +0.71 gain on the field putting at Torrey Pines – where he finished T15 – was bolstered by a remarkable +2.52 in round four. This is a guy who just gets Poa Annua.

Although his approach play isn’t as strong as many in the field, Hossler does typically perform at his best with wedges in hand – and there’s just something about Pebble Beach that evidently suits his eye.

Key Stats (2024):

• SG: Putting – 14th
• Birdie Average – 29th
• Greens in Regulation – 45th

Low-Tier Pick

Andrew Novak (Odds: 150/1, FPPG: 70.1, Salary: $6,700)

It’s been well accepted for some time that Andrew Novak is a classy tee-to-green operator, and in contending at the Farmers Insurance Open, he proved as much.

It follows solo second at the Bermuda Championship in November, where again Novak could have lifted the trophy but for some struggles on the Sunday.

Whether he can repeat that feat in elite company remains to be seen, but Novak – whose approach play was back on form at Torrey Pines – certainly has the tee-to-green game to match many.

His +1.30 putting gain on the field at the Farmers, which came on Poa greens of course, is a welcome addition to his arsenal.

Key Stats (2024):

• Scoring Average (adjusted) – 14th
• SG: Tee-to-Green – 20th
• SG: Approach – 23rd

Sleeper Pick for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Ben Griffin (Odds: 100/1, FPPG: 81.0, Salary: $6,600)

Although his record in two trips to Pebble Beach hasn’t been the best, there’s still a case to be made that he would enjoy the challenge here.

Not the strongest driver in the world, the fact that the big stick will be taken out of his, and his rivals’ hands, bodes well, because Griffin is generally strong in every other department.

He didn’t take to the long, grinding assignment at the Farmers, but T7 at the American Express just prior shows that Griffin has form in the tank. 

A birdie-making machine that is excellent on approach, typically, we expect Griffin to put on a stronger showing at Pebble Beach than he has done previously.

Key Stats (2024):

• Total Birdies – 1st
• Scrambling – 23rd
• SG: Approach – 34th

Alternative Sleeper Pick for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Nico Echavarria (Odds: 150/1, FPPG: 81.2, Salary: $6,500)

There was an interesting interview at the Sony Open in which Nico Echavarria revealed that he considers himself to be one of the best players in the world. 

Whether that’s true or not, well, that can be debated, but you can’t fault the Colombian’s confidence… born out of an excellent few months on TOUR.

He won the ZOZO Championship in October, where he headed off Justin Thomas and the explosive Max Greyserman on Sunday, before finishing just one shot shy of the winner at the correlating RSM Classic.

Solo second at Waialae in his penultimate start, Echavarria has the game – and the confidence – to outperform expectations at the AT&T Pebble Beach.

Key Stats (2024):

• SG: Approach – 14th
• SG: Around-the-Green – 43rd
• Par 4 Scoring Average – 52nd

This Week’s Sample Fantasy Lineup

Note: Sample lineups provided as examples only.  Be sure to mix-and-match to best fit individual contests.

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Fantasy Golf Predictions – This Season 

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