Fantasy Golf Sleeper Report – 2025 Procore Championship

Procore Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report

And it’s away we go with the FedEx Fall series.

Ordinarily, this is the period of the PGA TOUR season where the players ranked 51st and lower in the FedEx Cup standings come to the fore, trying to create playing opportunities for themselves in 2026… or, at least, hold onto their tour card.

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And it will be that way again in the weeks ahead until we wrap another year – although not quite yet.

That’s because the U.S. Ryder Cup team have decided to descend on mass to Napa for this week’s Procore Championship. Ten of the twelve are here, with the only absentees being Xander Schauffele, who has decided he doesn’t need a tune up, and Bryson DeChambeau, who for obvious reasons cannot play on the PGA TOUR. 

So it’s a more high-quality edition that is generally the case, and you wonder how that will impact upon the scoring – over the past decade, winning marks of between -14 and -21 have been notched at Silverado’s North Course.

Mind you, the conditions might not be to the elite’s liking. The fairways of the North Course are thin and tight, so they are easily missed by anyone. But, as the rough is so friendly here, there is little penalty for missing the short grass – which brings more of the field into the tournament as potential winners.

Hitting classy wedges and short irons from the rough is one route to success at Silverado, while a sure hand putting on typically slow and bumpy Poa Annua greens is also a help.

The winners’ circle of this event has seen the likes of Stewart Cink, Cameron Champ, and Kevin Tway lift the trophy, but this isn’t necessarily a bombers paradise. In fact, the champions of the last three editions – prior to 2025 – have been Sahith Theegala and Max Homa (twice), so that evidence would suggest that tee-to-green class is even more vital.

And then, last year, Patton Kizzire came along and made a mockery of all assumptions about the North Course, romping to a five-stroke victory. Punters could avail themselves of odds of 175/1 on Kizzire; congratulations if he was in your betting arsenal 12 months ago.

Will we see such a long odds winner this week? Perhaps not, but there’s still plenty of high-quality performers at 50/1 or longer that represent value in Napa.

As such, here’s our sleeper shortlist for the 2025 Procore Championship.

Keith Mitchell – At the 2024 Procore Championship, Keith Mitchell was a 30/1 chance before a ball was struck, and he ended up in solo 12th – not bad for a guy that had barely seen Silverado before.

He continued to play well for the first half of 2025, racking up a stack of top-20s in the spring that were headlined by a T2 finish at the Corales Puntacana.

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But then his form dipped in the second half of the year. Mitchell’s ball striking remained solid, but his short game eluded him and that saw a drop-off in results.

Time away will have afforded him a chance to improve in that regard, and it’s not as if he’s poor on the greens as a general rule – with some good Poa Annua form to his name, maybe Mitchell’s uptick will come out of the gate in Napa.

Emiliano Grillo – It has been a solid 2025 for Emiliano Grillo, but it’s how his form has been shaping up since mid-summer that has most impressed.

T19 at the U.S. Open, the Argentine battled his way into a playoff with Brian Campbell at the John Deere Classic just two starts later, ultimately losing out.

But his game is certainly tracking in the right way, with Grillo showing a real burst of quality with his wedges and short irons, too.

In theory, that’s a skillset that should travel to Silverado, where – lest we forget – the Argentine reined victorious back in 2015.

Matt McCarty – There’s a lot to like about the game of Matt McCarty, and his wedge and short iron play sees him enter our crosshairs this week.

But he’s a spike putter too, adding big gains on the greens in T4 and T8 turns at the Canadian Open and Wyndham Championship since the start of summer.

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T22 amongst high class company at the Scottish Open in July followed T14 and T20 at The Masters and PLAYERS Championship earlier in the year, so this is a young talent that is becoming increasingly comfortable at the highest level.

Mackenzie Hughes – A former RSM Classic winner with form to his name at Silverado, Mackenzie Hughes is an interesting candidate this week.

He has the class of a two-time PGA TOUR winner that has played in Presidents’ Cups, and it’s at this North Course where the Canadian seems to produce some of his best work – Hughes’ approach play gain of +1.46 here 12 months ago hasn’t been bettered since.

An investment in Hughes also aligns with a player that is comfortable on any greens, including Poa Annua, and those guys are always worth having on side in any given week.

Adam Svensson – Although his formline doesn’t necessarily tell the tale, Adam Svensson was playing some golf before missing out on the FedEx Cup playoffs.

He gained strokes on the field on approach in each of his last three starts, with +1.63 at the 3M Open – where he finished T14 – the clear highlight.

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The Canadian has played some strong golf at Silverado, with T12 and T13 finishes to his name since 2022, which should perhaps come as no surprise given that he’s an excellent wedge player with form at both the Sony Open and RSM Classic – key correlations – to his name.

Want more of this week’s fantasy predictions? Check out our full fantasy preview for the Procore Championship here.

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