Fantasy Golf Sleeper Report – 3M Open

2020 3M Open Fantasy Sleeper Report

If we were all being brutally honest, we’d probably admit that we take great pleasure in the torture of elite-level golfers.

Anyone that has hacked their way around their local course will presumably feel nothing but jealousy for the skills of PGA TOUR pros, and so to watch them struggle – as they did at Muirfield Village – was a rare treat. How often has Dustin Johnson shot +16 through 36 holes? Maybe never….

Also, just a few weeks ago we were talking about Bryson DeChambeau revolutionizing the sport. On Friday, a fantastic Gif emerged of him counting up the ten shots he took on a single hole.

Its fair to say that Muirfield Village was the victor last week….

Not that Jon Rahm will care. He outlasted the field to win the Memorial Tournament and move up to number one in the world rankings – only the second Spaniard in history to reach that mark.

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The super-fast greens and thick rough were just two of the factors that made that challenge so tough, and the third – the strong wind – could be in play for this week’s event, the 3M Open.

The early forecast for Blaine in Minnesota is for an almighty breeze of around 18 mph, but that will be the only defense that prevents the players from taking TPC Twin Cities to the cleaners.

A typical Arnold Palmer design – he’s one of the more ‘generous’ designers doing the rounds, TPC Twin Cities could easily be overpowered in perfect conditions – there were seven scores of 63 or better here 12 months ago.

The wind will add to the complexity of the challenge, but there is so little to fear off the tee and the Bentgrass greens are so large that really this week’s event will be worlds away from the Memorial.

It’s all about length for our sleeper picks – the course is a decent stretch at 7,431 yards, with three Par 5s measuring a touch under 600 yards and two driveable Par 4s for those who can bump it 320 yards off the tee.

Even accounting for the wind, we’re expecting high GIR figures and so it’s all about long, straight driving and quality approach play – get on a run with the putter and that’s even better.

Matthew Wolff won here 12 months ago, leading Bryson and Collin Morikawa home at -21, and there is a real chance for another long-odds fancy to thrive this week with market leaders Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka not firing on all cylinders right now.

So, with that in mind, who has made the grade on our 3M Open sleeper report?

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3M Open Fantasy Sleeper Report

Doc Redman – 50/1 – Opportunity knocks for Doc Redman, who could finally cash in on his undoubted ability this week.

The 22-year-old is an elite ball-striker, and like many of his kind Redman’s failings come in his short game. But he surely won’t miss many GIR on these large greens, so that minimizes the issues presented by his poor chipping, and if he relentlessly peppers flags on approach then hopefully some putts will drop too.

A prolific birdie-maker, Redman can shoot low numbers at TPC Twin Cities, and if he connects a couple of super-low rounds then he should go close.

Sam Burns – 55/1 – Nine of Sam Burns last twelve rounds have been at 69 or better.

It’s excellent consistency that has yielded a trio of top-30 finishes, and his T17 at the Workday Charity Open last time out represented the peak of his efforts.

Burns’ approach play and scrambling has been above his baseline during that time, and one thing that has remained is his excellent putting stroke – he ranks 27th on Tour for SG: Putting.

And the youngster gives the ball an almighty whack off the tee, so given his profile and current form he should be one to reckon with at TPC Twin Cities.

Patrick Rodgers – 60/1 – Players like Patrick Rodgers are some of the most frustrating for bettors to put their money on.

A fantastic driver of the ball and an accomplished putter, Rodgers always seems to put himself in a position to thrive before tripping himself up.

That said, he was excellent in finishing T18 at the Memorial last time out, and at times during those 72 hours he actually showed some quality with iron in hand – a very interesting development.

Rodgers is close to making a breakthrough on the PGA TOUR….could this week be it?

Luke List – 66/1 – Since winning the Korn Ferry Challenge at TPC Sawgrass, Luke List has been trending in the right direction.

T21 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic was followed by T10 at the Memorial last week, where he drove the ball beautifully and – hold the front page – actually gained strokes on the field in putting.

A premium ball-striker who can handle himself on longer golf courses/holes, if List’s upward trend with the putter continues he really could contend here.

Max Homa – 90/1 – ”The game is close. Working too hard not to see a breakthrough soon. Thanks again for all the support, it means a lot. Gunna play some great #golf for the rest of the season.”

Talk is cheap in elite sport, of course, but those were very positive vibes from Max Homa despite missing the cut on the number in the Memorial.

That is two consecutive missed weekends, but TPC Twin Cities will play a whole bunch easier than Muirfield Village and that will suit him to a tee.

Homa can’t chip, it’s a fact, but he is excellent from tee-to-green and a reliable putter when in the flow too. He is a better player in this field than those odds suggest, anyway.

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Want more of this week’s fantasy predictions? Check out our full fantasy preview for the 3M Open here.

Sleeper Report Predictions This Season (2019-2020)

[skill_bar heading=”Total Top 3s” percent=2.30%” bar_text=”3 out of 130 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Top 10s” percent= “6.15%” bar_text=”8 out of 130 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Top 25s” percent=”30.77%” bar_text=”40 out of 130 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Winners Picked” percent=7.69%” bar_text=”2 out of 26 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Runners-Up Picked” percent=”0%” bar_text=”0 out of 26 events” style=”background-color: #5fb341″][skill_bar heading=”Total Made Cuts (Includes Sleepers)” percent=”64.62%” bar_text=”84 out of 130 picks” style=”background-color: #5fb341″]

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