GOLFICITY BETS: The BMW Championship 2020 Gambling Guide

The BMW Championship 2020 Tournament Preview

It’s been a strange season for numerous reasons, but we are approaching the culmination of the 2019-20 campaign in good order.

Nobody will head to the TOUR Championship next week in better form than Dustin Johnson, of course, who was one-shot away from equaling the lowest-ever winning score in a PGA TOUR event in his -30 romp at THE NORTHERN TRUST last time out.

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It was an astonishing performance, and one that left Justin Thomas questioning on his Twitter feed whether or not he had been playing at a different course. It revealed once more that DJ, when the mood takes him, is still perhaps the best player on the planet.

You suspect he would love to add the FedExCup to his sizable trophy cabinet, but then so too will everyone else in the hunt – the top 70 will become a fabulous 30 after the action concludes at the BMW Championship this week.

The BMW Championship 2020 Course Preview

It’s a leap into the unknown for the vast majority of the field this week, with Olympia Fields Country Club hosting a PGA TOUR event for the first time since 2003.

It has hosted the Women’s PGA Championship, as well as the U.S. Amateur in which the likes of Bryson DeChambeau, Matt Wolff and Cameron Champ featured, but otherwise it’s very slim pickings as far as recorded data is concerned.

However, we do know that Jim Furyk won the U.S. Open here in 2003 – that gives you an idea that precision may trump power this week, and if Olympia Fields is set up anything like it was back in ’03 then the birdie-fest feel of TPC Boston will feel a world away.

We expect the fairways to be nice and narrow with punitive rough flanking the short stuff, and the quick Bentgrass greens are well protected by shaved run-offs and nuisance bunkers.

Playing a long 7,343 yards for its Par 70, Olympia Fields could be a very interesting test if the wind whips up in Chicago this week.

The BMW Championship 2020 Outright Winner

There are plenty of big hitters both in terms of driving distance and in name heading to Illinois, and yet it’s a rather unassuming player that could be the smartest bet.

Webb Simpson isn’t the most glamorous of names but he has the perfect game for Olympia Fields if it is set up in a similar way to the U.S. Open – an event that he has won elsewhere, of course.

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The harder the better for Simpson, who plays Par 4s better than anyone else on the PGA TOUR – literally, given that he ranks first for Par 4 Scoring Average.

With a pair of wins this season, Webb is very much in the equation to win the FedExCup and his game – both long and short – is in fine order right now. You suspect he will love the challenge.

The BMW Championship 2020 Top 5 Finish Pick

It takes all-sorts to motivate professional sportsmen and women, and the hurt Daniel Berger is feeling at (probably) missing out on The Masters seems to be fueling his high level of performance right now.

In fairness, he probably should have played better earlier in the season to book his spot at Augusta, but he has certainly upped his game since the resumption of the campaign – winning the Charles Schwab Challenge and recording a trio of other top-three finishes.

The last of those came last week in the Northern Trust, where a solo third return was franked by his customary excellence off the tee and on-and-around the greens.

The BMW Championship 2020 Top 10 Finish Pick

If you had backed Kevin Kisner in the top-10 finish market in the past couple of weeks, you would have cashed rather handsomely.

The irony is that this week’s host venue will suit him better than both TPC Boston and Sedgefield, so maybe a hat-trick of top-10s is in the offing.

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One of the more accurate drivers around, Kisner should enjoy an edge over many in the field on these tight fairways, and if his recent approach play excellence continues then he should rank very nicely for GIR.

A three-time PGA TOUR winner, Kisner has the fortitude to win when the finishing line approaches, and so this top-10 wager has a nice insurance feel to it.

The BMW Championship 2020 Top 20 Finish Pick

While the forecast hints at reasonably benign conditions in the Windy City, you know that there is the possibility that things could take a turn for the worse at any time.

As such, Alex Noren is a nice play this week given his comfort in a breeze – here’s a guy who has won the Scottish Open and at Le Golf National, host of the 2018 Ryder Cup, after all.

The Swede is a prolific winner on the European Tour, and he’s starting to show his worth on the PGA TOUR too with a trio of top-10s in recent memory at the 3M Open, Barracuda Championship and last week’s Northern Trust.

Noren has the form – and the weapons – to really thrive at Olympia Fields.

The BMW Championship 2020 Match-up to Watch

One of the best iron players in the world, Collin Morikawa was strangely poor in this area last eek – losing 2.13 strokes to the field in this department prior to his missed cut.

Take the strongest suit from his game and Morikawa becomes vulnerable in a match-up head-to-head, and according to the odds supplied by GolfBet he can be taken on with either Daniel Berger or Jason Day.

Our case for Berger is made loud and clear above, and we’re also happy enough to support Day, who will be happy to grind out a score and who recorded four consecutive top-10s prior to his missed cut last week.

Who to Fade this Week

There was an interesting interview with Rory McIlroy this week, who intimated that he was struggling to find his mojo with no fans on the premises.  

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It would be highly unlikely that the Irishman will just stumble upon some form at a tough layout like Olympia Fields, and he was leaking putts left and right last time out.

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