Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions for the 2019 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
2019 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Fantasy Preview
The Super Bowl may only have been a matter of hours away, but Sunday’s action at the Waste Management Phoenix Open provided the ultimate in sporting drama.
Rickie Fowler, perennially the nearly-man of TPC Scottsdale, appeared to be cruising to victory in what would be a long overdue triumph at the venue.
Heavy rain looked set to put a dampener on the 30-year-old, in more ways than one, and when he triple-bogeyed the 11th those old accusations of Fowler as something of a ‘choker’ looked set to be proven correct once again.
It was a strange old situation, with Fowler dunking his approach shot in the water and then, having taken the drop at the summit of a mound, watched on as the stationary ball took life and rolled back into the water.
Rickie Fowler takes a drop on the eleventh hole during the final round of the Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale on February 3, 2019 in Scottsdale, Arizona. Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
Golf’s rules are bizarre, confusing and downright stupid, in places, and a further one-shot penalty was handed out in a prime example of the latter.
Many would have assumed that the stars were aligned against them, but the Floridan ‘nutted up,’ a phrase potentially used in the New England Patriots’ dressing room just a few hours later, and rebooted.
He birdied two of the last four holes, made par at the potentially dream-crushing 16th, and watched on as nearest challenger Branden Grace faltered in the final straight. Fowler, after an incident-packed final round, finally had his fifth PGA TOUR win.
And so he’s earned himself a week off, and like the rest of us will enjoy the frivolities of the AT&T Pebble Beach from the comfort of his armchair.
Last Week’s Fantasy Results
Last week we opted for Rahm as top dog and the Spanish long-ball hitter finished T10; not enough to get us past the Rickie owners.
Once all was said and done we finished with two top 15s at the WMPO.
Rickie Fowler poses with the trophy after winning the Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale on February 03, 2019 in Scottsdale, Arizona. Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
Across the pond on the European Tour, our mid-tier pick Haotong Lee just fell short of Dustin Johnson to finish in second place.
The 2019 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Field
Fresh from a win in the European Tour’s Saudi Arabia International and with nine top-10s at Pebble Beach in the past decade, Dustin Johnson might just take some stopping this week!
Trying to do so will be a fairly stacked field which contains Jason Day, who has four top-10s in six editions of this event in his own right, Tony Finau, Patrick Reed and Patrick Cantlay.
The in-form Matt Kuchar will be looking to add his third PGA TOUR title of the season to his collection, while Jordan Spieth, you suspect, would be happy to lift any sort of trophy you can give him right now.
Brandt Snedeker, a two-time Pebble Beach winner, and the defending champion Ted Potter will be looking for more glory at this iconic layout, while the European charge will be led by Tommy Fleetwood, Matt Fitzpatrick and Shane Lowry, the recent Abu Dhabi HSBC winner.
All in all, more than 300 pros and amateurs will tee up across the resort’s trio of courses.
Tommy Fleetwood of England takes his tee shot on hole one during Day Four of the Omega Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 27, 2019 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
This Week’s Course Preview
The Pebble Beach Links will host this year’s US Open, as it did back in 2010, and that gives a flavor of its complexity.
Of course, the layout won’t bare its teeth here in this fun pro-am event, but you will see some of the factors of why it is so beloved for its challenge. These are the smallest greens on the PGA TOUR, and with nine holes running along the Californian coastline there is the chance that the wind will become a significant factor.
Back in that US Open of ’10, Graeme McDowell won with a score of level par; 54-hole leader Dustin Johnson played the first three holes on Sunday in +5!
Happily for those in the field this week, the other two host courses on the resort are far more agreeable. Spyglass Hill is a short Par 72 at 6,858 yards, and while this is also a Links style course it does benefit from some tree cover.
Monterey Shore is the third and easiest course of the trio, and plays at around two strokes easier than Pebble Beach. A Par 71 measuring 6958 yards, 13 holes play along the coastal edge, but more generous fairways and fewer hazards enable the players to take a few more chances off the tee than at the Pebble Beach links, which will also host the best 60 pros on Sunday.
The par 3, 17th hole at Pebble Beach Golf Links the host venue for the 2019 US Open Championship on November 9, 2018 in Pebble Beach, California. Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
Weather Forecast for Pebble Beach, CA
If you signed up to play a golf tournament in California, you might rightly expect four days of glorious sunshine.
Unfortunately, the players at the AT&T Pebble Beach may be in for a shock this week….
A huge storm swept through the Monterey Peninsula at the weekend, causing thousands of dollars of damage to the course with a temporary stand brought crashing to the ground, the video screen damaged and a tree felled.
The good news for the players is that the worst of that weather front is moving away, but it is leaving behind some cool temperatures (around 55 degrees on average) and the threat of rain over the course of the weekend.
And with wind speeds expected to hit 15 mph on Saturday, good luck to those teeing up at the Pebble Beach Links on that day!
Last Year’s Results from the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
This tournament has a habit of throwing up the occasional surprise winner, and that was the case 12 months ago when Ted Potter Jr outlasted Dustin Johnson to claim his second PGA TOUR title and his first in nearly six years.
It was a victory predicated on a round of 62 at Monterey Shore which propelled him up the leaderboard and took him level with DJ at -14 heading into the final round.
Amazingly, it wasn’t the former world number one that prevailed but Potter, then ranked 243 in the world, who closed out with a 69 to win by three shots from a pack including DJ, Jason Day and Phil Mickelson.
He went on to miss his next five cuts, and his highest finish in the past year is T13. But these pro-am, split course formats tend to throw up these unusual results.
Just ask Adam Long…
Where to Play Fantasy Golf for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am this Week
Off we go into the wild with another pro-am, split course affair….it’s not rich ground for FS success it has o be said but here’s a couple of contests that whet the appetite nonetheless.
- PGA $500k Drive the Green: You might get on the right side of any draw bias in California, but you might not be so lucky. So our motto is keep stakes tight in these highly volatile gameweeks; for minimum outlay ($5), here you could get maximum gain ($100k).
- PGA $60k Micro Millions Special: Minimum outlay, maximum reward. If that’s our mantra this week then have a dart at this $3 entry contest, which boasts a still tasty first prize of $5k.
This Week’s Fantasy Notes for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Unfortunately, this is one of those weeks where successful DFS gamers will need luck on their side as well as a skillful draft.
There will be a draw bias, that is guaranteed given the rather hair-raising weather forecast, and so you need to be on the right side of it to take full advantage.
Sadly, such bases only reveal themselves at the very last minute – hence why so many contests descend into farce in these split course events!
No matter, we will simply have to make the best of what we’ve got.
So what do we know? Certainly, that what you do off the tee is almost irrelevant. Potter practically kept his driver sheathed all week, averaging 282 yards off the peg and finding 76% of fairways.
But you can also spray it around a bit off the tee here….Jordan Spieth is a former winner, after all.
With 36 holes being played at Pebble Beach, finding fairways should be an advantage; certainly hitting approaches into these small Poa Annua greens.
Naturally, strength in the wind is key, but this isn’t a Links style free-for-all; DJ, for one, has never particularly enjoyed traditional links and yet he thrives here.
We’re happy to consider the importance of West Coast form too; Jason Day, a strong performer at Pebble Beach, is a two-time Farmers Insurance Open winner, while DJ has three wins in California.
Our Top 5 (and Top 2 Sleeper) Fantasy Picks and Odds to Win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
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Fantasy Golf Predictions This Season (2018-2019)
Total Top 3s
Total Top 10s
Total Top 25s
Total Winners Picked
Total Runners-Up Picked
Total Made Cuts (Includes Sleepers)
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