Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions – 2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship

Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions for the 2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship

2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Fantasy Preview

The best player in the field proved every inch of his class at the World Wide Technology Championship in Mexico.

Ben Griffin’s pedigree as a two-time winner this year, allied to his Ryder Cup status, afforded him the chance to tee it up in Los Cabos with his chest out, and he simply out-birdied the field on Sunday to showcase his superiority.

Five birdies in a row around the turn broke the back of his trophy push, and with the likes of Garrick Higgo and Carson Young finding trouble, it was Griffin’s par-busting onslaught that would ultimately prove too much in a two-shot victory.

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It was his third win of 2025 – the Zurich Classic, clinched alongside Andrew Novak, still counts, and brings Griffin into some unique company of five players that won their first three PGA TOUR titles in a single year: Scottie Scheffler, David Duval, and Paul Azinger the most notable of the group.

All of which leaves us with just two events of the FedEx Fall series left to play. First up: the Bermuda Championship.

The 2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Field

While Griffin and J.J. Spaun were amongst the stars having a swing in Mexico, this week it’s very much FedEx Fall to the fore for those in much need of points.

In fact, only two players ranked inside the OWGR top 50 – Michael Brennan and Sam Stevens – will be present in Bermuda.

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It’s very much a case of necessity for those in the field this week; as a reminder, those who finish 51-60 in the FedEx standings get invites into a handful of Signature Events next year, while only the top 100 players are guaranteed a TOUR card for 2026.

Sahith Theegala, Nico Echavarria, Rico Hoey, and Kevin Yu are amongst the most notables in what is as low a grade field as you’ll likely see on the PGA TOUR; but with so many narratives at work in this penultimate event of the season, there’s still plenty to look forward to nonetheless.

This Week’s Course Preview

After the wide-open spaces of El Cardonal last week, a much different scene awaits the players at Royal Port Golf Club.

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Not only is this a slightly more difficult assignment anyway, with tighter fairways than El Cardonal and smaller greens, there’s also the prospect of a hellacious weather forecast to battle with – more on that shortly.

Winning scores at Royal Port have ranged from -15 to -24 in the last five years alone, and that reveals much of what you need to know about this coastal, exposed track: it’s difficulty, or lack thereof, is determined almost exclusively by the weather.

Nine of the holes play inland, whereas the other nine are exposed to the elements – some literally flanking the cliff edge that separates the players from the Atlantic Ocean.

Seven holes then have water in play, while nearly 90 bunkers will also help to concentrate the mind. Undulations, which require players to fire their tee shots and irons up and down some hefty slopes, will also require canny club selection.

Playing to around 6,820 yards for its Par 71, Royal Port is short enough that most can club down and take away some of the risk – they’ll need to, given the expected wind, and we can expect GIR to be missed by plenty in the breeze.

Even so, eleven holes averaged under par last year, including all three Par 5s – those at seven and 17 succumbed to 31 and 40 eagles respectively. There’s six Par 4s measuring inside 400 yards, and they all too averaged under par.

But Royal Port is not without its complications. The 15th yielded 19 scores of double bogey or worse 12 months ago, while the 16th is a beast of a Par 3 – 235 yards, sometimes playing into a headwind, it saw 118 scores of bogey or worse last year and just 26 birdies.

Weather Forecast for Southhampton, Bermuda

This is where things get truly interesting.

So volatile is the weather in Bermuda at this time of year that the predictions could change numerous times before the off, but right now it looks set to be an apocalyptic week on the island.

Thursday could be dry and sunny, according to the forecast, with temperatures in the region of 71 degrees. But then it’s all downhill from there…

Rain could sweep in on Friday, before the weekend greets the players with wind speeds of up 27mph… good luck, guys!

SOUTHAMPTON, BERMUDA WEATHER

Last Year’s Results

Out of nowhere, Camilo Villegas – once upon a time a really classy operator – won this event in 2023.

And last year, there was a similar vibe as another forgotten man – Rafael Campos – delivered a victory that even the most accurate of judges couldn’t have predicted.

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Available with the sportsbooks at an eye watering 300/1, the Puerto Rican threw the formbook into the Atlantic as he breezed to a three-shot victory over Andrew Novak.

Campos was sat in T40 after an opening round of 70, but rallied with 65 on Friday before a glorious 62 on Saturday saw him tied at the top with Novak with 18 holes to play.

Novak was a strong favorite, but after playing his opening seven holes in level par, it was advantage Campos after he birdied six and eagled seven.

After failing to rally on the back nine, Novak allowed Campos to canter to victory, with the Puerto Rican doing little wrong in testing conditions to win by three. 

Where to Play Fantasy Golf for this Week’s the 2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship

With 27mph winds forecast, and the possibility of a draw bias from Thursday to Friday, maybe discretion is the better part of valor this week.

Even so, here’s a couple of low risk-high reward contests that we can try in Bermuda:

• PGA TOUR $6k Birdie: At $3 an entry, it won’t break the bank to enter this contest, and there’s still the potential upside of a $600 top prize.

• PGA TOUR $150K Summer Sand Trap Special: If you’re feeling particularly bullish, this $25 entry game could be the one for you – there’s plenty of big prizes to be won, including a jackpot of $50k.

This Week’s Fantasy Notes for the 2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship

With no ShotLink data available, there are some unknowns when it comes to handicapping the Bermuda Championship.

But you only need to look at the weather forecast to know that it’s going to be a dogfight this week, with a winning score in the teens under par likely.

There aren’t really any statistical categories that can help with that, and instead its comfort in the wind – flighting balls down off the tee, and chipping and scrambling when required – that will be key.

That’s evidenced by the success that the former winners of this event have had in similar conditions. Campos won on the Korn Ferry Tour in the Bahamas, with T2 to his name at the Corales Puntacana.

Villegas is a former winner of the Cognizant Classic, where the wind really does blow, while 2022 champion Seamus Power is an Irishman that grew up playing Links golf in his native land.

Lucas Herbert won the Irish Open on Links in 2021, while both Brian Gay and Brendon Todd lifted the trophy at Mayakoba; the often-breeze hit venue in Mexico.

This feels like one of those weeks in which the leaderboard can have an unlikely look to it, with hardy veterans and TOUR also-rans getting into contention. In our draft, we simply have to look to those with prior success in grinding out a good score by the coast.

Top 5 Picks/Odds to Win the 2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship  

Top Tier Pick # 1

Thorbjorn Olesen (Odds: 20/1, FPPG: 66.9, Salary: $10,100)

An eight-time winner on the DP World Tour, this could be Thorbjorn Olesen’s best chance yet to break his duck Stateside.

The Dane is a noted player on the Links, having won the Alfred Dunhill Championship in Scotland, and he also won in the breeze of the UAE desert – a howling wind is of no inconvenience to Olesen.

His current formline is also indicative of someone who’s ready to win in this low-grade company. T14 at the Sanderson Farms Championship saw Olesen put up classy ball striking numbers, while putting woes were solved at the Bank of Utah in a T3 finish.

A T14 turn at the WWT Championship saw Olesen shoot -6 on Sunday and average 87.5% GIR across the week, so it just feels as though he’s ready to compete for silverware in conditions that should suit.

Key Stats:

• Greens in Regulation – 8th
• Scoring Average (adjusted) – 11th
• SG: Putting – 22nd

Top Tier Pick #2

Nico Echavarria (Odds: 25/1, FPPG: 65.3, Salary: $9,700)

If we look at this field of players since the beginning of 2024, Nico Echavarria has been amongst the most successful.

He deserves his place towards the summit of the salary cap this week, and the Colombian will surely love a dogfight in the breeze.

Echavarria beat a better grade of opponent than this field in winning both the Puerto Rico Open and the ZOZO Championship, while second place finishes in the Sony Open and RSM Classic reveal a player that’s comfortable in breezy, coastal conditions.

A solid turn at the WTT Championship last week, where he posted a round of -9 on Sunday, suggests that Echavarria is inching towards his best again – perfectly timed ahead of an event that he will feel that he can win.

Key Stats:

• SG: Putting – 8th
• Birdie or Better Percentage – 32nd
• Proximity to Hole – 40th

Mid-Tier Pick #1

Matt Kuchar (Odds: 35/1, FPPG: 69.8, Salary: $8,600)

We’ll wager that there will be some surprise names towards the top of the leaderboard come Sunday, and 47-year-old Matt Kuchar might just be one of them.

He’s desperate to finish inside the top 100 of the FedEx standings – Kuchar has said that he doesn’t want to use his career prize money exemption, so another strong performance, to back up a T11 turn in Mexico last week, is essential.

A breezy bunfight by the coast will surely suit a wise old head that has won the Sony Open, RBC Heritage, Cognizant Classic, and at perhaps the best correlating course in Mayakoba, where former Bermuda Championship winners Brendon Todd and Brian Gay also prevailed.

Kuchar has finished T18 or better in four of his last five PGA TOUR starts… he is very much knocking on the door.

Key Stats:

• Scrambling – 4th
• SG: Putting – 15th
• Proximity to Hole – 18th

Mid-Tier Pick #2

Victor Perez (Odds: 45/1, FPPG: 63.2, Salary: $8,100)

Ranked 104 in the FedEx standings, Victor Perez knows that a big week in Bermuda will set him up to keep his TOUR card. And the Frenchman will surely thrive in the expected conditions.

Perez has won on Scottish Links and prevailed in a Middle Eastern desert; showcasing his ability to control his ball in even the fiercest of winds.

He finished fourth in the Olympics last year too, so the takeaway here is that Perez really is a top-level player… even if he hasn’t really shown it yet on American soil.

But T18 at the Cognizant Classic and T19 at the U.S. Open are signals of Perez’s aptitude for tough golf, and T11 at the Sanderson Farms and T21 at the WWT Championship in recent weeks confirm that his game is where it needs to be to launch a title charge.

Key Stats:

• SG: Approach – 21st
• Scoring Average (adjusted) – 37th
• SG: Putting – 44th

Low-Tier Pick

Justin Lower (Odds: 60/1, FPPG: 51.8, Salary: $7,300)

In hindsight, maybe an out-and-out birdie fest at the WWT Championship, where everyone and anyone can hit the fairways, wasn’t the best application of Justin Lower’s skillset.

His formline at Royal Port – 20-8-17 – is reflective of a player perhaps best supported in assignments when keeping your ball under the tightest of control is key.

At 108 in the FedEx standings, Lower is another bedevilled by the fear of losing his TOUR card, so he’ll be motivated this week no matter how fierce the winds blows. In fact, the faster the better for a player at home by the seaside.

Key Stats:

• Driving Accuracy – 38th
• Approaches from 100+ Yards – 42nd
• Proximity to Hole – 43rd

Sleeper Pick for the 2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship

Brandt Snedeker (Odds: 125/1, FPPG: 51.9, Salary: $6,800)

There’s life in the old dog yet, you know.

Since being named as the Presidents Cup captain, Brandt Snedeker has finished T7 at the Memorial Tournament, T9 at the Bank of Utah Championship, and T19 at the Procore Championship.

Indeed, his form since the summer has revealed a real return to form with irons and wedges in hand, to go with his customary excellent short game.

So short is Snedeker that he loses strokes off the tee week in, week out, but his fairway finding will surely find plenty of favor this week, as will is reliable scrambling and chipping game.

Would it be more of a shock if Snedeker won this week than Campos or Villegas here in 2023 and 2024? We’d argue not.

Key Stats:

• Driving Accuracy – 8th
• SG: Putting – 9th
• Scrambling – 20th

Alternative Sleeper Pick for the 2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship

Francesco Molinari (Odds: 275/1, FPPG: 48.6, Salary: $6,500)

Can we interest you in a former British Open champion, who finished T27 last week, at a salary of $6,500?

Francesco Molinari isn’t the player he once was, but he proved last week in Mexico that he can still hang with this level of company – and at a bargain price, too.

In fact, you’d expect the Italian to perform even better this week in tough conditions that should suit a guy that has lifted the Claret Jug. 

T17 here 12 months ago, a bit of a breeze won’t trouble Molinari one bit this week.

Key Stats:

• N/A

This Week’s Sample Fantasy Lineup

Note: Sample lineups provided as examples only.  Be sure to mix-and-match to best fit individual contests.

Cover Photo via Instagram