Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions – 2025 RBC Canadian Open

Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions for the 2025 RBC Canadian Open

2025 RBC Canadian Open Fantasy Preview

It looked as though Ben Griffin’s heater was going to continue at the Memorial Tournament, until a familiar face came along and extinguished his flame.

At one point on Saturday, Griffin led the field by five shots… by the close of play, there’d been the old switcheroo as the Charles Schwab Challenge victor bogeyed four holes on the back nine, while Scheffler birdied four of his last five.

An air of inevitability on Sunday? You better believe it, as Scottie serenely went round in 70 and watched as his nearest rivals failed to get close – in fact, in the end, only Griffin and Sepp Straka were within five shots of the winner.

It means that Scheffler has now successfully defended three PGA TOUR titles – over the past three decades, only Phil Mickelson and Tiger Woods have done so more times.

But here’s some good news: Scottie won’t be in the field at the Canadian Open this week to scupper our bets and confound our fantasy drafts. 

The bad news: Rory McIlroy is… and he has a fantastic record in this event. 

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Last Week’s Fantasy Results

Last week our north stars were Shane Lowry and Tommy Fleetwood; but ultimately sacrificing Scottie to make more roster room for these two didn’t work in our favor. 

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the 2025 RBC Canadian Open Field

In four trips to the nomadic Canadian Open at different layouts, McIlroy has won twice and yet to finish outside of the top ten.

He’ll have his old friend Shane Lowry for company in Canada, but otherwise only four other members of the OWGR top 20 are heading north of the border this week: Ludvig Aberg, Justin Rose, defending champion Robert MacIntyre, and home favorite Corey Conners.

Sungjae Im and Wyndham Clark round out the members of the OWGR top 30 club, while Conners will be joined by a litany of his Canadian counterparts – most notable among them Taylor Pendrith, Nick Taylor, Mackenzie Hughes, and Adam Hadwin.

Playing on a career money extension are TV favorite Kevin Kisner and Brandt Snedeker, who landed a top-ten finish out of nowhere at the Memorial Tournament.

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This Week’s Course Preview

It’s the dreaded first-time host venue this week.

The North Course at TPC Toronto will host its maiden PGA TOUR event, and – to the best of our knowledge – its first ever tournament at professional level.

We are, therefore, feeding off scraps of information, although we’re reliably informed that the track will play to around 7,400 yards for its Par 70 – so it’s a long old test. The Par 5s, uniquely, bookend the course at holes one and eighteen, with five of the Par 4s playing to nearly – or beyond – 500 yards.

The North Course was designed by Doug Carrick, but a recent renovation conducted by Ian Andrew – he of St George’s and Oakdale fame – points to previous links with Canadian Open host courses.

Those that have played or observed the layout describe generous width fairways and some sizable green complexes, but with thick tree lines and deep bunkers dotted throughout. 

Andrew is quoted as saying that he wanted to stiffen the tee-to-green test in his renovation work, so it will be interesting to see if that comes to pass this week.

Weather Forecast for Ontario, CAN

It’s a pleasant, rather than warm, week in Toronto, with weak winds and minimal chance of rain.

The mercury will hover between 62 and 68 degrees according to the early forecast, with a possible shower or two on Friday – otherwise, it’s a mix of sunshine and cloud anticipated.

As for the wind, there’s not a great deal to write about – single digit expectations of 6-7mph will not trouble the players.

CAMBRIDGE WEATHER

Last Year’s Results from the RBC Canadian Open

A strong allegiance has been formed between Scotland and Canada over the years, so it was somehow fitting that Robert MacIntyre landed his maiden PGA TOUR title in Hamilton.

The Scot flew out of the traps with a round of 64 at the Hamilton Golf & Country Club, before putting together rounds of 66 on Friday and Saturday.

That left MacIntyre with a handsome four-shot lead heading into the final round, and while he betrayed nerves by bogeying the opening hole on Sunday – and making back-to-back boogers at 12 and 13 – he still had plenty in hand.

The likes of Victor Perez and Ben Griffin got close at the top of the leaderboard with rounds of 64 and 65 respectively, but MacIntyre made par at the last to secure a one-shot victory.

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Where to Play Fantasy Golf for this Week’s the 2025 RBC Canadian Open

It’s a case of steady as she goes this week, with a brand-new course being bedded in a week before a major. Low stakes contests with multiple entries allowed might be the way to go.

• GOLF TOUR $250k Drive the Green:  There’s $50k to the winner here should you strike it lucky, with thousands of paid places available at $5 per entry.

• GOLF TOUR $50k Birdie: If you want to narrow the field, this contest is roughly a third of the size of the Drive the Green game, but with a still handsome top prize of $5k to be won from $3 stakes.

This Week’s Fantasy Notes for the 2025 RBC Canadian Open

This is usually the section where we lay the gold on you: those all-important titbits that help to identify the right men for the assignment ahead.

Unfortunately, this week we don’t have a great deal to share, given that this is our first look at TPC Toronto.

We can only focus on what we do know. The North Course is long and will play long, and so those players comfortable hitting long-range approaches will surely be best rewarded. 

Ian Andrew was responsible for renovation work at St George’s and Oakdale, hosts of the 2022 and 2023 Canadian Opens respectively, while he has also cited Winged Foot as inspiration for his revamp of the North Course at TPC Toronto. 

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Our Top 5 (and Top 2 Sleeper) Fantasy Picks and Odds to Win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open   

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Top 5 Picks/Odds to Win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open  

Top Tier Pick # 1

Rory McIlroy (Odds: 4/1, FPPG: 99.7, Salary: $11,900)

The adaptability of Rory McIlroy has been perfectly exemplified at the Canadian Open.

He’s won this event at tight Par 70s that couldn’t be overpowered, but at the North Course this week he should have carte blanche to unleash the big stick and reel off those mammoth drives.

If the Canadian Open descends into an iron game shootout, based upon its length but the size of the greens, so be it: the last time Rory found himself in such conditions, he won The Masters – becoming surely one of the few players to have won their Green Jacket while losing strokes to the field putting… that’s how good his ball-striking was at Augusta.

A winner at an Ian Andrew renovation in 2022 – specifically, the Canadian Open at St George’s, McIlroy finished inside the top ten at both the US Open in 2020, held at the Winged Foot track that has inspired Andrew, and Oakdale, which has also been restored by the designer/architect.

We have so little to go on this week that these little details could be important. And, if nothing else, we’re drafting the best player in the field… when all else fails, there’s no harm in that.

Key Stats:

• Driving Distance – 3rd
• SG: Tee-to-Green – 3rd
• SG: Putting – 6th

Top Tier Pick #2

Nick Taylor (Odds: 50/1, FPPG: 65.2, Salary: $8,800)

Whether Nick Taylor is the most talented Canadian golfer on the planet is open to debate, but he’s certainly the most likely of them to win on the PGA TOUR when everything comes together.

Tayor has landed five PGA TOUR wins, with two of those coming inside the past 18 months. His form is up and down, but he heads home this week with confidence after an improved showing at Muirfield Village.

He was rarely absent from the top page of the leaderboard at the Memorial Tournament, and while a closing round of 73 will have stung, Taylor still signed for a solo fourth finish and gained strokes on the field on approach and putting.

This is one Canadian that certainly knows how to win… and his game appears to be in pretty good shape, too.

Key Stats:

• Greens in Regulation – 12th
• SG: Tee-to-Green – 39th
• Par 4 Birdie or Better Leaders – 42nd

Mid-Tier Pick #1

Ryan Fox (Odds: 75/1, FPPG: 70.5, Salary: $7,700)

It’s a surprise to see a player that won their maiden PGA TOUR title in May, and who has since followed up with respectable T20 and T28 showings at the Memorial Tournament and PGA Championship, available at this sort of price.

Ryan Fox certainly knows how to win – just look at his trophy cabinet from his time on the DP World Tour for evidence of that, and the Kiwi has the length that may well prove vital at TPC Toronto this week.

He’s been putting up some chunky tee-to-green gains on the field in recent times, and so if nothing else he heads to Canada brimming with confidence.

Key Stats:

• Birdie Average – 33rd
• SG: Tee-to-Green – 40th
• Driving Distance – 56th

Mid-Tier Pick #2

Ryo Hisatsune (Odds: 80/1, FPPG: 61.9, Salary: $7,600)

With a quartet of top-ten finishes in his last eleven PGA TOUR strokeplay outings, Ryo Hisatsune has quietly developed into a consistent performer.

If you look at his strokes gained data, he doesn’t particularly excel in any department, but he does everything well, and so there’s no reason why Hisatsune can’t build on T4, T5, and T6 finishes this term already.

The Japanese player won’t baulk at the finishing line should he get into contention, either. He won the prestigious Open de France in 2023, leaving a strong field by DP World Tour standards in his wake. 

Key Stats:

• Scrambling – 16th
• Scoring Average (adjusted) – 18th
• SG: Tee-to-Green – 36th

Low-Tier Pick

Matti Schmid (Odds: 80/1, FPPG: 66.6, Salary: $7,500)

With four PGA TOUR top-tens since March, odds of 80/1 seem somewhat disrespectful for a player that was very close to a maiden PGA TOUR title at the Charles Schwab Challenge.

It’s true that some of Matti Schmid’s best work this term has come in weak field events, but he bested some high-quality players at Colonial – he was three shots clear of Scheffler, for example – and therefore commands respect.

The German has the length to take full advantage on the North Course this week, with the extra room off the tee certainly helpful. If he can deliver his typically ball-striking performance and putt like he did at Colonial again, Schmid is a viable challenger once more.

Key Stats:

• Driving Distance – 15th
• SG: Approach – 36th
• SG: Putting – 59th

Sleeper Pick for the 2025 RBC Canadian Open

Patrick Rodgers (Odds: 100/1, FPPG: 64.9, Salary: $7,200)

With ten cuts made in his last twelve starts, with the only aberrations coming at the PLAYERS Championship and PGA Championship, it seems strange that Patrick Rodgers is being given away at such a bargain price.

He’s ideally suited to tests of long hitting, as his T3 finish at the Genesis Invitational – at which he looked like beating a Signature Event class field for much of the week – attests.

You’d describe Rodgers’ current form as respectable, rather than spectacular, but he’s a player that has often come into his own at Torrey Pines, Quail Hollow, and the like – don’t be surprised if the North Course is on their wavelength this week.

Key Stats:

• Total Birdies – 17th
• Scrambling – 18th
• Driving Distance – 50th

Alternative Sleeper Pick for the 2025 RBC Canadian Open

Harry Higgs (Odds: 350/1, FPPG: 62.9, Salary: $6,500)

When you liberally miss fairways, golf becomes much harder – as Harry Higgs can qualify.

But when there’s more room to play with off the tee, players like Higgs can come into their own. His approach play has been pretty good lately – that was the foundation for his run to the first-place playoff at the Myrtle Beach Classic, in which he just missed out to Ryan Fox.

He gained +0.71 on an elite field at the Memorial Tournament last week, and given his penchant for occasionally spiking in performance when putting on slower greens, Higgs could be a very handy sleeper pick to have on side this week.

Key Stats:

• Approaches from 200+ Yards – 36th
• Driving Distance – 43rd
• Putts Per Round – 69th

This Week’s Sample Fantasy Lineup

Note: Sample lineups provided as examples only.  Be sure to mix-and-match to best fit individual contests.

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Fantasy Golf Predictions – This Season 

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