Welcome back to the Wednesday Night Tilt. Lets win some cash.
This week we have The Sony Open in Hawaii. Its the first full field of the year, meaning plenty of opportunity to blindly throw your money at players who you have no clue if they will be in form or end up pumping 3 balls OB right on 1.
Waialae plays short and tight. This place is all about hitting your irons well and of course putting well but that’s pretty much true everywhere they play.
*disclaimer: I’ve never once picked the outright winner correctly*
The Winner at Waialae always finishes strong at the Tournament of Champions so lets just hope history repeats itself.
Justin Thomas (+580):
Odds are going to tell you, its going to be Justin Thomas. In all my betting experience, I have never seen such a lopsided line. JT sits at +580 while Bryson sits at +1050. Usually you see the top 4-5 all under +1000 which is why I am just baffled. Ill sprinkle a little cheddar on this line because I WILL NOT be the sucker that saw this giant gap in the odds and did nothing about the favorite.
Justin Thomas of the United States plays a shot during a practice round ahead of the Sony Open In Hawaii at Waialae Country Club on January 8, 2019 in Honolulu, Hawaii. Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
Gary Woodland (+1350):
To be honest we all know why he can win. Without Xander putting on an absolute clinic, Woodland would have closed out only his 2nd, 54 hole lead of his career. I think he is somewhere in the ballpark of 1-7. I want to PUKE knowing that stat. That being said he’s obviously playing very well right now and has all the game you need to win so lets just hope he goes into Sunday anywhere but the lead.
Normally I tend to stay away from the top 5 and top 10 bets because there is absolutely no value in these but today is the day and its because these eyes saw the value in 2018 at Waialae, cashed in, and now I want to pass the value onto you.
Brian Harman (+500):
Oh yeah you read that right. My guy Brian Harman loves playing well during the early season. His past finishes starting with 2018 back to 2015 are 4, 20, 13, and 13. So suck on those apples Vegas. You’re giving me waaaayyyyy to much value here again.
Brian Harman of United States prepares for a putt on the 6th hole during the third round of the CJ Cup at the Nine Bridges on October 20, 2018 in Jeju, South Korea. Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
Zach Johnson (-135) vs Bubba:
Bubba Watson is the most inconsistent player on the planet. Not only do I hate how he does that weird little lean in on his Instagram videos, but i hate how he played last week. He was nearly -3 SG putting last week which is just laugh out loud funny. 5 over on the par 4’s and 2 over on the par 3’s. YUCK. ZJ is made to play in the wind and on tight golf courses so pay the juice here and smile when your ticket cashes.
Brian Harman (+130) vs Poulter:
I might still be a little upset Poulter was allowed to keep his tour card on a technicality. I might be a little biased because of my early season love for Brian Harman and the money he’s made me. BUT, if you’re at all a stats person this is the easiest bet of the week. Harman plays well early and especially at Waialae, shown by the recent finishes i laid out above. Also Poulter hasn’t played here in quite a few years and he stinks out loud so this is a guaranteed winner. Lay your next months rent.
Kisner (+130) vs Charles Howell III:
I promised myself the first time Kiz played I’d bet on him because he called out that dirt bag Patrick Reed. So here it is.
Kevin Kisner of the United States plays a shot on the 11th hole during the second round of the BMW Championship at Aronimink Golf Club on September 7, 2018 in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. Get premium, high resolution news photos at Getty Images
Good luck to everyone out there this week. Also while you’re at it go ahead and cash in on Colts ML at +200.
Cover Image via Instagram
- Wednesday Night Tilt: The Clintons Used to Sponsor this Tournament - January 16, 2019
- Wednesday Night Tilt: Sony Open in Hawaii - January 9, 2019
- Wednesday Night Tilt: The Hero World Hit and Giggle - November 28, 2018